Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.003828 0.004018 0.004212 0.004426 0.004655 0.004893 0.005161
2025-01-26 0.003503 0.003790 0.004095 0.004447 0.004841 0.005271 0.005779
2025-02-02 0.003369 0.003721 0.004108 0.004567 0.005099 0.005702 0.006439
2025-02-09 0.003168 0.003554 0.003986 0.004512 0.005137 0.005864 0.006783
2025-02-16 0.003029 0.003444 0.003917 0.004504 0.005218 0.006070 0.007176
2025-02-23 0.002901 0.003335 0.003840 0.004476 0.005266 0.006229 0.007513
2025-03-02 0.002828 0.003287 0.003828 0.004522 0.005402 0.006499 0.007997
2025-03-09 0.002723 0.003193 0.003755 0.004487 0.005430 0.006626 0.008299
2025-03-16 0.002625 0.003104 0.003683 0.004446 0.005446 0.006736 0.008578
2025-03-23 0.002521 0.003002 0.003589 0.004373 0.005413 0.006777 0.008761
2025-03-30 0.002428 0.002910 0.003505 0.004307 0.005384 0.006819 0.008943
2025-04-06 0.002375 0.002866 0.003479 0.004315 0.005453 0.006995 0.009322
2025-04-13 0.002255 0.002736 0.003339 0.004168 0.005310 0.006873 0.009268
2025-04-20 0.002211 0.002701 0.003322 0.004187 0.005394 0.007076 0.009706
2025-04-27 0.002207 0.002718 0.003373 0.004298 0.005610 0.007475 0.010466
2025-05-04 0.002141 0.002650 0.003309 0.004247 0.005594 0.007533 0.010698
2025-05-11 0.002095 0.002608 0.003277 0.004240 0.005638 0.007682 0.011081
2025-05-18 0.002044 0.002558 0.003234 0.004214 0.005654 0.007787 0.011397
2025-05-25 0.002022 0.002545 0.003239 0.004257 0.005772 0.008053 0.011996
2025-06-01 0.001974 0.002496 0.003193 0.004224 0.005774 0.008138 0.012292
2025-06-08 0.001926 0.002447 0.003145 0.004187 0.005768 0.008207 0.012564
2025-06-15 0.001871 0.002385 0.003079 0.004119 0.005712 0.008194 0.012688
2025-06-22 0.001821 0.002329 0.003018 0.004058 0.005663 0.008190 0.012827